Has he broke his rib? Is he out already but UFC are stringing us along to keep the interest high? Does it even matter considering Mendes is a worthy alternative? So many questions, so little time.
On July 11th, Conor McGregor will be fighting someone. At this stage, even he doesn't know who it will be and he even went as far as saying he may not know until the weigh in. While the UFC's original response to the champ's injury was wholly positive, doubts quickly began to emerge.
Rumours from Aldo's camp continued to suggest that it was a broken rib and everything has looked up in the air over the past couple of days. But now there's been some significant light at the end of the tunnel.
The executive director of the Nevada State Athletic Commission (the body that will decide whether Aldo can fight) has said he believes it is 'highly unlikely' Aldo will fail to receive medical clearance before July 11th.
Bob Bennett told ESPN that the commission's doctor, Timothy Trainor, has been studying Aldo's medical records and has given a positive diagnosis at this point in time.
Dr. Trainor has told me this type of injury (rib contusion) is fairly common and usually improves within a few days.
Right so we'll move to around a 60-40 percent chance that Aldo will make it in to the Octagon on July 11th. You can expect that percentage to change significantly every day in the next week and a half.