Munster's 39-22 loss to Racing Metro has put a major dent in their Champions Cup aspirations this season. It was a game Munster were in right up until the final ten minutes, but the French side would go on to run in a couple of tries to put some added gloss on the scoreline.
Munster's performance was not to the level they would have hoped for, but they could have gotten something from this game. They were in the lead with 15 minutes to go, even if they were fortunate to do so.
This result leaves them in a perilous position in the pool. They currently sit in third place, with Racing having secured passage to the quarter finals.
Despite this, Munster could yet advance to the quarter finals. It would require a number of results to go their way, and while it looks unlikely, it is certainly possible.
What needs to happen for Munster to get through?
They host Ospreys in the final pool game, where a bonus point victory will be needed to keep their hopes alive. This would leave them on 16 points. From this point, the rest is out of their hands.
In order to overtake the reigning champions for second place in the group, Johann van Graan's side will need Racing Metro to beat Saracens at Allianz Park.
Results in some other pools will also need to go their way if they are to qualify as one of the three best second placed sides.
A couple of the following scenarios will have to take place:
- Lyon defeat Northampton at home in Pool 1
- Glasgow do not secure a win and try bonus point at Sale in Pool 2
- Group leaders beat Gloucester at home in Pool 5
If two of the above happen, as well as the previously mentioned results, Munster will be guaranteed to be at least the eighth ranked side heading into the quarter finals.
- Munster get bonus point win against Ospreys.
- Racing Metro beat Saracens.
- Two of the three results in other pools go their way.
It's unlikely, but all hope is not lost just yet.