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All The Permutations For 2024 Six Nations Title Heading Into The Final Round

All The Permutations For 2024 Six Nations Title Heading Into The Final Round
Jonathan Browne
By Jonathan Browne Updated
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It was a chaotic day in the Six Nations. Saturday started off great for all non-Scottish supporters as Scotland lost in Rome for the first time since 2012 in a memorable day for all Italians. That gave Ireland a chance to win the Championship if they were to beat England in Twickenham.

That wasn't to be, however, as Marcus Smith kicked a game-winning drop goal in a barnstormer of a match to give England the victory, end Ireland's 11 match unbeaten run in the Six Nations and shatter hopes of back-to-back Grand Slams.

After all that drama, the Six Nations title is still up for grabs with Ireland, England and Scotland still in the chase. While Ireland are in the driver's seat, with bonus points in place it means there's many different scenarios in which any of those three can win the title.

Ireland welcome Scotland to Dublin at 4.45pm next Saturday while England travel to France for an 8pm kickoff.

Here's the permutations for Super Saturday - though we've omitted a few extremely unlikely permutations.

Six Nations Winners Permutations Heading Into Final Round

If Ireland win or draw, they are champions

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If they don't lose to Scotland on Super Saturday at the Aviva Stadium, Ireland will win the Six Nations Championship. A win would put Ireland on at least 20 points and a draw would put them on 18. The maximum points England can reach is 17.

How Ireland can lose still win the Championship

If Ireland lose to Scotland, get a losing bonus point and a try bonus point, they win the championship. This would put them on 18 points and cannot be passed.

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If Ireland lose to Scotland and England fail to win against France in Lyon. Ireland will be on at least 16 points and a draw for England would only leave them on 14.

If Ireland lose to Scotland but get a singular bonus point and England win in France without a bonus point, this would mean Ireland are on 17 points and England 16. It would be the first time a team who didn't win the most games in the Six Nations won the championship.

How England can win the Championship

If England win against France in Lyon with a try bonus point and Ireland lose to Scotland without a bonus point, England will win the Six Nations Championship. A bonus point win will put England on 17 points while a loss for Ireland without a bonus point will leave them on 16.

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How Scotland can win the Championship

Scotland can still win the Six Nations Championship if they get a bonus point win against Ireland, win by at least 39 points, deny Ireland a bonus point and England fail to win or if they win, fail win by 45 points and score no bonus point.

How France can win the Championship

France can also still win the Six Nations Championship if they get a bonus point win against England and Scotland beat Ireland convincingly but not by more than France beat England. France have an identical record to Scotland with both sitting on 11 points and a +4 points difference. With Ireland on +80 points difference France would need a major points swing in their favour if they have any chance of winning.

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